Loonieviews February 13, 2013


February 13, 2013

USD/CAD 1.0026-31 Overnight Range: 1.0015-1.0042

The USD/CAD drop below 1.0040 yesterday served to muddle the technical view which was evident in the directionless trading overnight. The AUD got a boost from stronger than expected data and the JPY rebounded modestly as the G-7 currency statement interpretation is rather muddled. Is there a currency war?, battle,? Skirmish? or merely a Chicago Saturday night. The US January Retail sales report was as expected at +0.1% MoM and now traders will focus on the pending G-7 meeting. Gold is $1,648.50 and WTI is $97.80

The short term USD/CAD technicals are neutral following yesterday’s move back through 1.0040 suggesting a period of consolidation between 1.0010 and 1.0080. For today, USD support is at 1.0010 and 0.9990. Resistance is at 1.0060 and 1.0080

And in other news, Pope Benedict XVl announced his retirement yesterday, sparking off a tsunami of thanks and prayers from around the world. Even the big guy (not Obama) may have gotten into the act, sending down a bolt of lightning to strike St. Peters, to acknowledge the Pontiff’s decision.

And in other news, the Carnival Triumph is being slowly towed to Mobile, Alabama after an engine room fire left it powerless, leaving over 4,000 passengers and crew without running water, toilets or air conditioning. The vessel has quickly turned into a floating outhouse replete with all the aromas.

Today’s Range 1.0010-1.0060

The content and opinions expressed within this commentary are solely those of the author(s) and are not necessarily shared by Jitney Trade. The data and comments provided herein are for informational purposes only and must not be construed as an indication or guarantee of any kind of what the future performance of the concerned markets will be. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options and foreign exchange products and is not suitable for all investors. Contact your account representative for more information on these risks. Information and opinions contained herein come from sources believed to be reliable but are not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. Please carefully consider your financial condition prior to making any trading decisions.

Michael O’Neill

Vice President, FX Trading

Tél.647-345-9099

Categories FX, Foreign Exchange, Currency, Canadian Dollar

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